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OpinionFiat-backed stablecoins

Tether's Profits Outrun Stablecoin's Stalled Supply

Stablecoin payments jumped 45 percent this year, but reserves barely grew, and the yield on them still belongs to Tether alone.

Published by CryptoLately on 3 min read · 7 sources
Visa's headquarters in Foster City, California, where Visa expanded its stablecoin-linked card programs in 2026
Visa's headquarters in Foster City, California, where Visa expanded its stablecoin-linked card programs in 2026. Photo: Missvain / Wikimedia Commons, CC0
“Stablecoin payments jumped 45 percent to $482 billion through September, while total supply grew just 0.4 percent, Allium's Oct. 15 report found. Does that gap prove crypto dollars finally earned real trust?”

Stablecoin payments hit $482 billion through September. That is up 45 percent from a year earlier, Allium's State of Stablecoins and Payments report found on Oct. 151. September alone carried $72 billion of that total, a monthly record.

Total stablecoin supply is different. Stablecoin supply is the actual dollars sitting inside the tokens, and that number grew just 0.4 percent over the same nine months. That left the total at $305 billion.

Read plainly, that gap says one thing. Stablecoins finally earned real trust. That reading mixes two separate numbers. Supply counts the dollars parked inside a stablecoin. Payments count how many times those same dollars changed hands.

Stablecoin payments grew 45% in 2026 while supply grew just 0.4%, Allium found Oct. 15

2026 year-to-date growth, in percent, payment volume versus total supply

  • Payment volume: 45%
  • Total supply: 0.4%

    Source: Allium [1].

    Read the chart as a table
    ItemValue
    Payment volume45%
    Total supply0.4%

    Geoffrey Kendrick tracked that supply number closely. He is Standard Chartered's global head of digital assets research, and he watched the figure hold between $300 billion and $320 billion2. The figure stayed there a full year.

    Standard Chartered pushed back its own forecast because of that stall. The bank had promised a $2 trillion stablecoin market by 2028, then moved that date back to 2030 instead.

    The same roughly $300 billion pool just moved faster. Its size held steady the whole time.

    Standard Chartered's headquarters building in London, seen from the front
    Photo 1Standard Chartered's London headquarters, home to the research team that tracked stablecoin supply holding near $300 billion through 2026.Shkuru Afshar / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

    Most of that faster money skips a shopper's wallet entirely. Of $97.9 trillion in raw stablecoin transfers, only $2.4 trillion, or 2.5 percent, counted as end-user activity, CoinDesk reported Oct. 183.

    Spending on stablecoin-linked cards tells the same story. Those are purchases with a face attached to them, and they equaled just 0.03 percent of Visa's $4 trillion payment volume. AI agents drove much of the recent jump. Agentic stablecoin payments doubled to 68.3 million transactions in the third quarter.

    Visa pushed hardest into that faster money anyway. Its stablecoin-linked card programs passed 160 worldwide. Payment volume across those programs grew nearly 200 percent year-over-year, Visa reported Oct. 1, 20264.

    Mark Nelsen leads that push for Visa. He is the company's global head of product for commercial and money movement solutions. Nelsen reads the surge as proof the technology already works. “Businesses aren't looking for new payment technologies for the sake of innovation. They're looking for trusted, reliable ways to move money,” Nelsen said4.

    Other builders read that same pool differently. Olivia Vande Woude leads tokenization at Ava Labs. She named the number the payment story skips over. “$305B in stablecoins, and most of it earns nothing. The fix: fintechs plug into ready-made vaults that connect USDC, USDT, and EURC to diversified RWAs, with daily liquidity and on-chain transparency,” Vande Woude said5.

    Money earning zero yield has a reason to move. That money keeps moving instead of settling in one place.

    One company already profits from that stillness. Tether reported $1.04 billion in first-quarter profit this year, most of it from Treasury securities6. Those are the government bonds backing its tokens.

    Tether calls itself the 17th-largest holder of American government debt. Its reserve buffer is the cushion above what it owes token holders. That buffer reached $8.23 billion. The profit on it belongs to Tether alone.

    The U.S. Treasury Department building in Washington, D.C.
    Photo 2The U.S. Treasury Department in Washington, which issues the government securities that make up most of Tether's reserves.颐园居 / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

    Tether turned $1.04 billion profit in early 2026 while building an $8.23 billion buffer

    Tether's Q1 2026 net profit and reserve buffer, in billions of U.S. dollars

    • Q1 2026 profit: $1.04B
    • Reserve buffer: $8.23B

      Source: CoinDesk [6].

      Read the chart as a table
      ItemValue
      Q1 2026 profit$1.04B
      Reserve buffer$8.23B

      Regulators closed off the easy fix. The GENIUS Act bars a stablecoin issuer from paying yield directly to token holders7. A separate rule would extend that ban further.

      The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency proposed that rule in February, and it would cover indirect deals too. One path still stays open to a depositor: move the token elsewhere, and hope a partner pays a reward instead of yield.

      Banks pushed hard for that rule. The rule keeps low-yield deposits flowing into checking accounts instead of away from them.

      The moral question sits inside that split. Depositors supply the float that Tether invests in Treasuries. Visa and the card networks collect fees on every payment that float makes.

      A depositor carries the risk if a reserve ever comes up short, and that reserve's yield goes to Tether instead. Depositors held that risk before this surge began. The surge left it in the same hands.

      Growth of 45 percent in payments is real money moving through real pipes every day. That growth proves stablecoins work as a payment rail today.

      That same number says little about trust, though. Holding the token pays zero. Someone else holds the Treasuries instead.

      Sign up for The Signal at cryptolately.com/newsletter. The Signal covers crypto's people and its numbers each week, free. Ask who earns the yield before the next surge looks like trust.

      Both sides, in their own words

      Does that gap prove crypto dollars finally earned real trust?

      “Businesses aren't looking for new payment technologies for the sake of innovation. They're looking for trusted, reliable ways to move money”
      Mark Nelsen, Visa, Oct 1, 2026

      Sources

      1. Allium Research, "State of Stablecoins and Payments, Q3 2026," Allium, Oct. 15, 2026, https://www.allium.so/reports/state-of-stablecoins-and-payments-september-2026
      2. Yogita Khatri, "Standard Chartered Delays Stablecoin Market Forecast to 2030," The Block, Oct. 14, 2026, https://www.theblock.co/news/web3/2026-10-14-standard-chartered-stablecoin-market-report-418578
      3. Krisztian Sandor, "Stablecoin Supply Stalls, But Payments Jump 45% as Visa, Mastercard and Stripe Connect Crypto to Cash," CoinDesk, Oct. 18, 2026, https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/10/18/stablecoin-supply-stalls-but-payments-jump-45-as-visa-mastercard-and-stripe-connect-crypto-to-cash
      4. Visa Corporate Newsroom, "Visa Data Shows Stablecoins Gaining Traction in Business Payments," Visa, Oct. 1, 2026, https://corporate.visa.com/en/sites/visa-perspectives/newsroom/stablecoins-gain-traction-business-payments.html
      5. Benjamin Njiri, "Stablecoin supply has stalled in 2026, but payments rose by 45% to $480B: Report," AMBCrypto, Oct. 17, 2026, https://ambcrypto.com/stablecoin-supply-has-stalled-in-2026-but-payments-rose-by-45-to-480b-report/
      6. Olivier Acuna, "Tether Posts $1.04 Billion in First-Quarter Profit, Reaches $8.23 Billion Reserve Buffer," CoinDesk, May 1, 2026, https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/05/01/tether-posts-usd1-04-billion-q1-profit-reaches-usd8-23-billion-reserve-buffer
      7. Ebrima Santos Sanneh, "Stablecoin yield debate dominates GENIUS rule comments," American Banker, May 6, 2026, https://www.americanbanker.com/news/stablecoin-yield-debate-dominates-genius-rule-comments

      Ryan Elliott Dennis is CEO and Managing Editor of CryptoLately. He writes the daily column.

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      Cite this piece

      Ryan Elliott Dennis, "Tether's Profits Outrun Stablecoin's Stalled Supply," CryptoLately, Oct 20, 2026, https://cryptolately.com/articles/tethers-profits-outrun-stablecoins-stalled-supply

      Tags: stablecoins · Tether · Visa · stablecoin supply · stablecoin yield

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